894
FXUS61 KBGM 021911
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
311 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather will continue through Friday along with above
normal temperatures. A brief cool down with rain showers is
expected for the weekend, especially Saturday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
310 PM Update:

High pressure and upper level ridging continues to bring ample
sunshine to the area this afternoon, along with temperatures a
bit above normal. With dew points only in the 40s, humidity
levels remain on the low side, resulting in very comfortable
conditions. Dry weather and mostly clear skies is expected
tonight along with lows in the 40s.

High pressure moves east of the area on Friday, resulting in a
southeasterly return flow. This will bring slightly warmer
conditions to the area. Increasing moisture may bring some
cloud cover, but skies should still at least be partly sunny.
Highs are expected to be in the 70s for most of the area.

A slow moving cold front will approach the area Friday night,
which will allow for increasing clouds. By late Friday
night/early Saturday morning, a few rain showers may reach areas
west of I-81, but the majority of the rain showers should hold
off until the daytime on Saturday. Lows are expected to be in
the mid 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
1245 PM Update...

A slow-moving cold front sweeping across the area Saturday will
bring rounds of rain showers Saturday and into Sunday night.
Temperatures will decrease from the mid- to high-70s Friday to
the high-50s to mid-60s Saturday and Sunday as that slow-moving
cold front moves through Central NY and NE PA. Currently, total
precipitation ranges from up to an inch in northern portions of
Central NY to up to a half of an inch elsewhere Saturday morning
through Sunday evening. Additionally, there are chances for
non-severe afternoon thunderstorms on Sunday, mainly for the
Twin Tiers and NE PA. These are subject to change as model
guidance attempts to predict the speed of progression the front
moves. The slower the front progresses, the higher the total
precipitation will likely be. We`ll keep monitoring the
progression of this front as we head into the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
1245 PM Update...

Lingering showers can be expected Monday as the aforementioned
slow-moving cold front exits our area. A weak warm front is
expected to move into the area heading into the mid-week, with
temperatures increasing back to the mid- to high-70s by
Wednesday. Overall a generally quiet weather pattern with some
nuisance rain showers, and chances for afternoon thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions continue at all terminals, with gusty winds
starting to decrease around the late afternoon-evening
timeframe. There is a small chance for fog at ELM/ITH/RME early
Friday morning, however, confidence is too low to add to the
forecast at this time.

Outlook...

Friday...Mainly VFR, but evening showers/t`storms possible.

Saturday into Monday...Restrictions possible in showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BJG
NEAR TERM...BJG
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...KL

NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion